6. Obstacles and challenges related to EU accession

    Major obstacle
    The EU regulatory zeal coincides with that of Bulgarian authorities. They “tick boxes”, do not implement rules and have been less “monitored” that 2004 members. When implementing the aqcuis the more costly patterns are applied. The EU accession is often the only but abstract justification to regulate. Eventually the process increased costs but omits benefits. Other countries have compensated for those costs by reducing taxes.

    Challenges
    Bulgaria finalized negotiation with EU. European commission report 2003 (1) is the latest holistic documents that summarizes the economic progress and can be use to summarize the comments of respondents on the EU accession challenges and needs. The table below attempts to put a meaning to different estimates of the used indicators for a functioning market economy. The key challenge is not to have “functioning market economy” but well-functioning market economy.

    EU Economic Criteria

    EU Assessment

    Challenges for the development of the private sector

    A) Support for economic reforms and EU accession

    Continues

    EU is viewed as “cash cow”, a “substitute for the Soviet Union”

    B) GDP Growth

    Sustained at somewhat lower rate

    There is room to desire more provided incentive are treated right

    C) Current Account

    Deteriorates but FDI grows

    It is investment driven

    D) Unemployment

    Decreasing

    But shortage of competitive work force is increasing and there is little done to resolve the problem; government employment programs are inefficient

    E) Consumer prices and inflation

    Decreases significantly

    What remains is driven by administered prices

    F) Adherence to currency board arrangement

    Continues

    Under-surface political pressures for government sponsored project (e.g. Belene NPS) may jeopardize stability

    G) Fiscal policy

    Continues to be tight

    The government redistribution remains high (41% of GDP), sustaining higher than needed taxes

    H) Macro-economic policy mix

    Adequate

    No improvement of the management of the budget sector

    I) Price liberalization

    Progressing but not complete

    Liberalization in some sectors (e.g. power) is slow and impedes investment opportunities

    J) Private ownership

    Progressed further

    The government remains major player in key sectors and have advantages before the law

    K) Privatization program

    Advances more slowly than expected

    Some deal have become “a joke”, blocked by interest groups and wrong mindsets

    L) Market entry and exit

    Not yet working smoothly, but new measures promise improvement; exit is a problem; insolvency remains slow

    Policies remain on paper; courts malfunction

    M) Enforcement of property rights

    Remains difficult in some areas, courts discourage taking cases to courts; costs on property transfers are high

    Remains difficult in many areas

    N) Bank intermediation

    Increasing, interest spreads decrease

    Growth impact is positive

    Î) Non-banking financial sector

    Still rudimentary, pension funds assets grow

    State pension scheme (NOI) is a prime concern: has advantages vis-a-vie private funds, while their profitability is 11%

    P) Supervision

    Has been strengthened

    Supervisory authority lacks knowledge;

     

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    (1) See: 2003 Regular Report on Bulgaria’s progress towards accession, p. 31-36.